Straight up / moneyline
- Wins–losses–ties
- 0–0–0
- Win rate
- —
- Net units
- —
0 settled bets with recorded prices
THE ROAD TO OMAHA
Preseason · 308 rated teams · 0 scheduled games
Preseason · 304 rated teams. Ratings use the supplied 2026 workbook. First data refresh pending. 2027 schedule coverage is not yet available. No current-season statistics loaded.
NATIONAL POWER BOARD
Original team names and workbook ratings. Four transitioning programs are listed without invented ratings. No talent, recruiting or transfer component.
DRAFTKINGS MARKET COMPARISONS
Moneyline expected value and ATS edges are ranked separately. Model forecasts are unchanged.
EV uses the published win probability and the offered DraftKings moneyline. Positive estimates depend on model calibration.
EV per $1 = probability × net payout − loss probability. Positive American odds pay odds/100; negative odds pay 100/|odds|. Monster EV ≥20%, Strong ≥10%, Playable >0%; these are display labels. Only quotes explicitly identified as DraftKings are eligible. Quotes older than 24 hours or without capture timestamps are excluded by default; fetch time is not a guarantee that the sportsbook has not moved. Opening and closing lines are unavailable unless separately verified. No substitute sportsbook or assumed −110 price is used. Historical retrospective ATS trend analysis is not an independent forward probability and is not ranked as betting EV.
| Rank / pick | Market | Win probability | DraftKings price | Expected value | Source / capture |
|---|
No eligible DraftKings moneyline opportunities match these filters. Missing prices are not estimated.
ESPN game IDs; original team names. Missing projections stay blank in the id,home,away,predicted export.
| Date ET / matchup | Projection | Model line / total | Vegas line | Actual score / status |
|---|
No games available for these filters.
WHAT THEY HAVE EARNED
Completed results only. Normalized résumé benchmark; independent of the Power Ratings board. Movement will appear when published ranking snapshots are available.
Résumé GRR; predictive GRR is a separate sport-specific fitted feature. Subtract the lowest Power Rating from every rated team: adjusted rating = rating − minimum. This is a shift, not a 0–100 rescaling. A win adds the opponent’s adjusted rating; a loss subtracts (adjusted maximum − opponent’s adjusted rating). Divide the sum by evaluated games. The existing provisional location adjustment shifts opponent strength by −3 at home, +3 away and 0 at neutral sites, bounded within the adjusted range. Ties and unrated opponents are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Résumé GRR averages individual evaluated games. Verified series records remain separate baseball context; no series weighting or sweep premium is added to this score. Missing series metadata is a coverage limitation.
Unrated opponents are excluded, not assigned invented ratings. The predictive model uses separate fitted GRR features; this résumé score is not added again to Power Ratings.
THE ROAD TO A CHAMPIONSHIP
Projected résumés select the field. Model ratings forecast remaining games and postseason matchups. Fields and seeds update as results, schedules and ratings change.
2027 preseason bracket · 2026 historical résumé prior · Data as of 10/15/2026, 3:13:04 PM ET · GFitz baseball workbook 2026 · original weights
PROJECTED CHAMPION
1 Georgia TechACC · GFitz 97.9 · 2026 45-9All eligible teams share one national comparison pool: 80% historical RPI-rank percentile and 20% historical winning-percentage percentile from the owner’s 2026 workbook. These are GFitz preseason weights, not an NCAA formula. Partial 2027 schedules cannot change selection, seeding or provisional conference bids. Current projected résumés activate together once every eligible rated team has at least 40 evaluable games; this is a GFitz coverage safeguard, not an NCAA requirement. Power ratings only predict games.
1 UCLABig Ten · GFitz 97.9 · 2026 48-6
2 Georgia TechACC · GFitz 97.9 · 2026 45-9
3 North CarolinaACC · GFitz 95.9 · 2026 43-10
4 TexasSEC · GFitz 96.9 · 2026 40-12
5 GeorgiaSEC · GFitz 96.4 · 2026 43-12
6 AuburnSEC · GFitz 93.8 · 2026 36-18
7 Southern CaliforniaBig Ten · GFitz 90.9 · 2026 42-14
8 NebraskaBig Ten · GFitz 91.1 · 2026 41-14
9 Florida St.ACC · GFitz 92.1 · 2026 38-16
10 AlabamaSEC · GFitz 84.3 · 2026 37-18
11 Southern Miss.Sun Belt · GFitz 91.5 · 2026 40-14
12 Texas A&MSEC · GFitz 94.3 · 2026 39-13
13 Mississippi St.SEC · GFitz 96.0 · 2026 39-16
14 FloridaSEC · GFitz 91.6 · 2026 37-18
15 Oregon St.Pac-12 · GFitz 89.0 · 2026 43-12
16 OregonBig Ten · GFitz 93.1 · 2026 38-15
17 West VirginiaBig 12 · GFitz 92.3 · 2026 37-13
18 KansasBig 12 · GFitz 89.1 · 2026 39-16
19 Wake ForestACC · GFitz 92.3 · 2026 38-18
20 Ole MissSEC · GFitz 87.8 · 2026 36-20
21 Jacksonville St.Conference USA · GFitz 91.6 · 2026 42-13
22 MercerSouthern · GFitz 89.5 · 2026 43-13
23 ArkansasSEC · GFitz 89.1 · 2026 36-19
24 CincinnatiBig 12 · GFitz 87.5 · 2026 37-19
25 Missouri St.Conference USA · GFitz 82.8 · 2026 32-18
26 Miami (FL)ACC · GFitz 89.5 · 2026 36-17
27 Coastal CarolinaSun Belt · GFitz 80.1 · 2026 36-19
28 OklahomaSEC · GFitz 82.8 · 2026 32-19
29 LibertyConference USA · GFitz 83.4 · 2026 38-18
30 VirginiaACC · GFitz 83.5 · 2026 35-20
31 Oklahoma St.Big 12 · GFitz 83.3 · 2026 36-19
32 TennesseeSEC · GFitz 88.9 · 2026 36-19
33 UC Santa BarbaraBig West · GFitz 82.4 · 2026 37-16
34 Boston CollegeACC · GFitz 78.6 · 2026 36-20
35 LouisianaSun Belt · GFitz 77.0 · 2026 34-21
36 Miami (OH)Mid-American · GFitz 83.2 · 2026 38-15
37 UCFBig 12 · GFitz 81.9 · 2026 31-20
38 Arizona St.Big 12 · GFitz 87.5 · 2026 36-18
39 Southeast Mo. St.Ohio Valley · GFitz 78.9 · 2026 38-16
40 Kent St.Mid-American · GFitz 83.0 · 2026 39-13
41 KentuckySEC · GFitz 80.2 · 2026 31-20
42 East CarolinaAmerican · GFitz 85.6 · 2026 33-21
43 High PointBig South · GFitz 80.9 · 2026 36-18
44 Texas St.Pac-12 · GFitz 77.2 · 2026 34-22
45 TCUBig 12 · GFitz 78.2 · 2026 33-20
46 UTSAAmerican · GFitz 84.4 · 2026 36-19
47 PittsburghACC · GFitz 79.9 · 2026 30-23
48 CampbellCoastal Athletic · GFitz 86.4 · 2026 39-15
49 Tarleton St.United Athletic · GFitz 78.2 · 2026 34-19
50 Saint Joseph'sAtlantic 10 · GFitz 68.9 · 2026 35-17
51 NIUHorizon League · GFitz 70.6 · 2026 31-17
52 Southeastern La.Southland · GFitz 75.6 · 2026 33-21
53 XavierBig East · GFitz 55.0 · 2026 27-28
54 RiderMAAC · GFitz 66.6 · 2026 30-17
55 FGCUASUN · GFitz 69.7 · 2026 34-20
56 BinghamtonAmerica East · GFitz 56.7 · 2026 28-20
57 YaleIvy League · GFitz 69.8 · 2026 30-1
58 PortlandWest Coast · GFitz 51.4 · 2026 27-25
59 Utah TechMountain West · GFitz 60.4 · 2026 31-21
60 Illinois St.Missouri Valley · GFitz 56.9 · 2026 33-22
61 BucknellPatriot League · GFitz 37.4 · 2026 26-22
62 Bethune-CookmanSWAC · GFitz 62.9 · 2026 37-18
63 Oral RobertsThe Summit League · GFitz 55.9 · 2026 32-22
64 LIUNEC · GFitz 52.8 · 2026 27-20Numbers beside teams are tournament seeds. Each column advances into the next; highlighted picks show the projected path. Expand a matchup for its model spread and win probability.
Top-eight seed: super-regional hosting priority if advancing.
4 LIUNEC · GFitz 52.8 · 2026 27-20
1 UCLABig Ten · GFitz 97.9 · 2026 48-64 vs 1Pick: UCLALIU 5 · UCLA 9
Home spread: -4.3 · UCLA win probability 81.5%
Higher seed / designated host advantage · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
3 UC Santa BarbaraBig West · GFitz 82.4 · 2026 37-16
2 TennesseeSEC · GFitz 88.9 · 2026 36-193 vs 2Pick: TennesseeUC Santa Barbara 5 · Tennessee 6
Home spread: -0.6 · Tennessee win probability 54.8%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
4 LIUNEC · GFitz 52.8 · 2026 27-20
3 UC Santa BarbaraBig West · GFitz 82.4 · 2026 37-16Loser G1 vs loser G2Pick: UC Santa BarbaraLIU 5 · UC Santa Barbara 8
Home spread: -2.6 · UC Santa Barbara win probability 71.0%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
2 TennesseeSEC · GFitz 88.9 · 2026 36-19
1 UCLABig Ten · GFitz 97.9 · 2026 48-6Winner G1 vs winner G2Pick: UCLATennessee 5 · UCLA 6
Home spread: -1.0 · UCLA win probability 58.7%
Higher seed / designated host advantage · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
3 UC Santa BarbaraBig West · GFitz 82.4 · 2026 37-16
2 TennesseeSEC · GFitz 88.9 · 2026 36-19Winner G3 vs loser G4Pick: TennesseeUC Santa Barbara 5 · Tennessee 6
Home spread: -0.6 · Tennessee win probability 54.8%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
2 TennesseeSEC · GFitz 88.9 · 2026 36-19
1 UCLABig Ten · GFitz 97.9 · 2026 48-6Winner G5 vs winner G4Pick: UCLATennessee 5 · UCLA 6
Home spread: -1.0 · UCLA win probability 58.7%
Higher seed / designated host advantage · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
Paired regional paths: 1/16, 2/15, 3/14, 4/13, 5/12, 6/11, 7/10, 8/9. Super regionals and the championship are best-of-three series.
16 OregonBig Ten · GFitz 93.1 · 2026 38-15
1 UCLABig Ten · GFitz 97.9 · 2026 48-6Series game 1Pick: UCLAOregon 5 · UCLA 6
Home spread: -0.7 · UCLA win probability 55.7%
Higher seed / designated host advantage · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
16 OregonBig Ten · GFitz 93.1 · 2026 38-15
1 UCLABig Ten · GFitz 97.9 · 2026 48-6Series game 2Pick: UCLAOregon 5 · UCLA 6
Home spread: -0.7 · UCLA win probability 55.7%
Higher seed / designated host advantage · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
17 West VirginiaBig 12 · GFitz 92.3 · 2026 37-13
2 Georgia TechACC · GFitz 97.9 · 2026 45-9Series game 1Pick: Georgia TechWest Virginia 6 · Georgia Tech 7
Home spread: -0.7 · Georgia Tech win probability 56.3%
Higher seed / designated host advantage · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
17 West VirginiaBig 12 · GFitz 92.3 · 2026 37-13
2 Georgia TechACC · GFitz 97.9 · 2026 45-9Series game 2Pick: Georgia TechWest Virginia 6 · Georgia Tech 7
Home spread: -0.7 · Georgia Tech win probability 56.3%
Higher seed / designated host advantage · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
14 FloridaSEC · GFitz 91.6 · 2026 37-18
3 North CarolinaACC · GFitz 95.9 · 2026 43-10Series game 1Pick: North CarolinaFlorida 6 · North Carolina 6
Home spread: -0.6 · North Carolina win probability 55.3%
Higher seed / designated host advantage · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
14 FloridaSEC · GFitz 91.6 · 2026 37-18
3 North CarolinaACC · GFitz 95.9 · 2026 43-10Series game 2Pick: North CarolinaFlorida 6 · North Carolina 6
Home spread: -0.6 · North Carolina win probability 55.3%
Higher seed / designated host advantage · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
13 Mississippi St.SEC · GFitz 96.0 · 2026 39-16
4 TexasSEC · GFitz 96.9 · 2026 40-12Series game 1Pick: TexasMississippi St. 6 · Texas 6
Home spread: -0.3 · Texas win probability 52.7%
Higher seed / designated host advantage · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
13 Mississippi St.SEC · GFitz 96.0 · 2026 39-16
4 TexasSEC · GFitz 96.9 · 2026 40-12Series game 2Pick: TexasMississippi St. 6 · Texas 6
Home spread: -0.3 · Texas win probability 52.7%
Higher seed / designated host advantage · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
12 Texas A&MSEC · GFitz 94.3 · 2026 39-13
5 GeorgiaSEC · GFitz 96.4 · 2026 43-12Series game 1Pick: GeorgiaTexas A&M 7 · Georgia 7
Home spread: -0.4 · Georgia win probability 53.6%
Higher seed / designated host advantage · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
12 Texas A&MSEC · GFitz 94.3 · 2026 39-13
5 GeorgiaSEC · GFitz 96.4 · 2026 43-12Series game 2Pick: GeorgiaTexas A&M 7 · Georgia 7
Home spread: -0.4 · Georgia win probability 53.6%
Higher seed / designated host advantage · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
11 Southern Miss.Sun Belt · GFitz 91.5 · 2026 40-14
6 AuburnSEC · GFitz 93.8 · 2026 36-18Series game 1Pick: AuburnSouthern Miss. 5 · Auburn 5
Home spread: -0.5 · Auburn win probability 53.8%
Higher seed / designated host advantage · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
11 Southern Miss.Sun Belt · GFitz 91.5 · 2026 40-14
6 AuburnSEC · GFitz 93.8 · 2026 36-18Series game 2Pick: AuburnSouthern Miss. 5 · Auburn 5
Home spread: -0.5 · Auburn win probability 53.8%
Higher seed / designated host advantage · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
22 MercerSouthern · GFitz 89.5 · 2026 43-13
7 Southern CaliforniaBig Ten · GFitz 90.9 · 2026 42-14Series game 1Pick: Southern CaliforniaMercer 6 · Southern California 6
Home spread: -0.4 · Southern California win probability 53.2%
Higher seed / designated host advantage · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
22 MercerSouthern · GFitz 89.5 · 2026 43-13
7 Southern CaliforniaBig Ten · GFitz 90.9 · 2026 42-14Series game 2Pick: Southern CaliforniaMercer 6 · Southern California 6
Home spread: -0.4 · Southern California win probability 53.2%
Higher seed / designated host advantage · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
9 Florida St.ACC · GFitz 92.1 · 2026 38-16
8 NebraskaBig Ten · GFitz 91.1 · 2026 41-14Series game 1Pick: NebraskaFlorida St. 6 · Nebraska 6
Home spread: -0.2 · Nebraska win probability 51.4%
Higher seed / designated host advantage · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
9 Florida St.ACC · GFitz 92.1 · 2026 38-16
8 NebraskaBig Ten · GFitz 91.1 · 2026 41-14Series game 2Pick: NebraskaFlorida St. 6 · Nebraska 6
Home spread: -0.2 · Nebraska win probability 51.4%
Higher seed / designated host advantage · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
1 NebraskaBig Ten · GFitz 91.1 · 2026 41-14
1 UCLABig Ten · GFitz 97.9 · 2026 48-64 vs 1Pick: UCLANebraska 6 · UCLA 6
Home spread: -0.6 · UCLA win probability 55.0%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
1 GeorgiaSEC · GFitz 96.4 · 2026 43-12
1 TexasSEC · GFitz 96.9 · 2026 40-123 vs 2Pick: TexasGeorgia 7 · Texas 7
Home spread: -0.0 · Texas win probability 50.4%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
1 NebraskaBig Ten · GFitz 91.1 · 2026 41-14
1 GeorgiaSEC · GFitz 96.4 · 2026 43-12Loser G1 vs loser G2Pick: GeorgiaNebraska 6 · Georgia 7
Home spread: -0.5 · Georgia win probability 53.9%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
1 UCLABig Ten · GFitz 97.9 · 2026 48-6
1 TexasSEC · GFitz 96.9 · 2026 40-12Winner G1 vs winner G2Pick: UCLAUCLA 6 · Texas 6
Home spread: +0.1 · Texas win probability 49.3%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
1 GeorgiaSEC · GFitz 96.4 · 2026 43-12
1 TexasSEC · GFitz 96.9 · 2026 40-12Winner G3 vs loser G4Pick: TexasGeorgia 7 · Texas 7
Home spread: -0.0 · Texas win probability 50.4%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
1 TexasSEC · GFitz 96.9 · 2026 40-12
1 UCLABig Ten · GFitz 97.9 · 2026 48-6Winner G5 vs winner G4Pick: UCLATexas 6 · UCLA 6
Home spread: -0.1 · UCLA win probability 50.7%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
1 Southern CaliforniaBig Ten · GFitz 90.9 · 2026 42-14
1 Georgia TechACC · GFitz 97.9 · 2026 45-94 vs 1Pick: Georgia TechSouthern California 6 · Georgia Tech 7
Home spread: -0.6 · Georgia Tech win probability 55.2%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
1 AuburnSEC · GFitz 93.8 · 2026 36-18
1 North CarolinaACC · GFitz 95.9 · 2026 43-103 vs 2Pick: North CarolinaAuburn 6 · North Carolina 6
Home spread: -0.2 · North Carolina win probability 51.6%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
1 Southern CaliforniaBig Ten · GFitz 90.9 · 2026 42-14
1 AuburnSEC · GFitz 93.8 · 2026 36-18Loser G1 vs loser G2Pick: AuburnSouthern California 5 · Auburn 5
Home spread: -0.3 · Auburn win probability 52.1%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
1 Georgia TechACC · GFitz 97.9 · 2026 45-9
1 North CarolinaACC · GFitz 95.9 · 2026 43-10Winner G1 vs winner G2Pick: Georgia TechGeorgia Tech 7 · North Carolina 7
Home spread: +0.2 · North Carolina win probability 48.5%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
1 AuburnSEC · GFitz 93.8 · 2026 36-18
1 North CarolinaACC · GFitz 95.9 · 2026 43-10Winner G3 vs loser G4Pick: North CarolinaAuburn 6 · North Carolina 6
Home spread: -0.2 · North Carolina win probability 51.6%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
1 North CarolinaACC · GFitz 95.9 · 2026 43-10
1 Georgia TechACC · GFitz 97.9 · 2026 45-9Winner G5 vs winner G4Pick: Georgia TechNorth Carolina 7 · Georgia Tech 7
Home spread: -0.2 · Georgia Tech win probability 51.5%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
1 Georgia TechACC · GFitz 97.9 · 2026 45-9
1 UCLABig Ten · GFitz 97.9 · 2026 48-6Pick: Georgia TechGeorgia Tech 7 · UCLA 7
Home spread: +0.0 · UCLA win probability 49.9%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
1 Georgia TechACC · GFitz 97.9 · 2026 45-9
1 UCLABig Ten · GFitz 97.9 · 2026 48-6Pick: Georgia TechGeorgia Tech 7 · UCLA 7
Home spread: +0.0 · UCLA win probability 49.9%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
All eligible teams share one national comparison pool: 80% historical RPI-rank percentile and 20% historical winning-percentage percentile from the owner’s 2026 workbook. These are GFitz preseason weights, not an NCAA formula. Partial 2027 schedules cannot change selection, seeding or provisional conference bids. Current projected résumés activate together once every eligible rated team has at least 40 evaluable games; this is a GFitz coverage safeguard, not an NCAA requirement. Power ratings only predict games.
Criteria edition: 2027-baseball-resume-v4
Not all committee inputs are available, and selection accuracy has not yet been backtested. The field is recomputed from actual results and projected remaining records. Before games begin, résumé estimates depend on the available schedule and preseason forecasts. Official selections may differ.
ncaaorg.s3.amazonaws.com · source
MATCHUP LAB
at
No upcoming scheduled games. Custom matchup mode.
Starter and bullpen scenarios change projected runs. The separate shared-weight lab below changes the margin while keeping the total fixed.
Series analysis appears when the schedule provides a confirmed series identifier and format.
Original workbook model
West Virginia -0.9West Virginia 6.9 · Pittsburgh 6.1
Total 13.0 · Pittsburgh win probability 42.9%
Pitching scenario
West Virginia -0.9West Virginia 6.9 · Pittsburgh 6.1
Total 13.0 · Pittsburgh win probability 42.9%
ERA changes affect the opposing offense only. Adjustment = [(starter ERA − team ERA) × starter innings + (bullpen ERA − team ERA) × remaining innings] ÷ 9. This extends the workbook pitcher helper around its existing team projection; it does not double-count baseline pitching. No announced starter feed is connected.
The same weights apply to both teams. Shares total 100%; projected total stays fixed. These controls do not alter published ratings or saved predictions.
Original model
West Virginia -0.9West Virginia 6.9 · Pittsburgh 6.1
Total 13.0 · Pittsburgh win probability 42.9%
Shared-weight scenario
West Virginia -0.9West Virginia 6.9 · Pittsburgh 6.1
Total 13.0 · Pittsburgh win probability 42.9%
PREDICTIONS VS RESULTS
Live games appear first, closest to finishing first; upcoming games follow, then finals. Compare archived pregame predictions with the score. “Predicted winner?” shows whether the outright pick was correct; “Win ATS?” grades the spread pick against its recorded pregame line. Only timestamped pregame forecasts qualify for performance tracking.
Live scores refresh every 30 seconds while this page is visible. DraftKings market quotes refresh separately; historical sources are preserved. ML units require recorded pregame odds. ATS units use recorded prices, or −110 when missing (labeled estimated). Results will appear after the next data update.
Connecting to live scoreboard…
Week of · All tiers
0 settled bets with recorded prices
0 settled bets with recorded prices
Combined net —
1 unit risked per recorded directional selection. Only verified pregame snapshots contribute. ATS wins return 100 ÷ 110 units at assumed −110; losses cost 1 unit and pushes return 0. Final games only; pushes and ties excluded from win rate.
Net profit excludes returned stake. Filters apply to the entire record, not just this page. Uses timestamped pregame predictions and saved prices, with −110 explicitly assumed for missing ATS prices. Untimestamped legacy forecasts remain preserved but are not included in verified performance.
0 settled winner picks excluded from ML units because odds are unavailable. 0 ATS returns use an estimated −110 price. The homepage and Performance page use this same grading policy.
| Matchup / date ET | Pregame prediction | Vegas line | Actual score | Game status | Predicted winner? | Win ATS? | ML / ATS units | Tier |
|---|
No games match these filters.

Big 12
Records include only completed games in the loaded schedule. Expected record adds probabilities for 0 remaining rated games; it is not a full-season estimate when schedules are incomplete. Conference standings share ties by win percentage, without official tiebreakers.
Résumé rankings measure results; Power Ratings predict games. Each rated team’s résumé-adjusted rating is its Power Rating minus the lowest rating in this sport (1.87). The adjusted maximum is 96.07. This linear shift preserves all rating differences, including negative original Power Ratings.
Win: add the opponent’s adjusted rating. Loss: subtract the adjusted maximum minus the opponent’s adjusted rating. Average over evaluated games only. The provisional location adjustment is −3 at home, +3 away, 0 at neutral sites, bounded to the adjusted range. Unrated opponents and ties are excluded. This score is not added to predictive Power Ratings.
Historical inputs are explicitly labeled 2026. PEA underlying statistics are shown with their season; PEA ratings and projections are excluded. Current-season statistics appear only when available.
| 2026 original workbook · Rank | 10.000 |
| 2026 original workbook · TSR | 5.400 |
| 2026 original workbook · WAR | 1.230 |
| 2026 original workbook · WPOE | 0.032 |
| 2026 original workbook · PYTHAG | 0.717 |
| 2026 original workbook · KWP | 0.718 |
| 2026 original workbook · KSHOTS | 78.000 |
| 2026 original workbook · CONCD | 27.000 |
| 2026 original workbook · KSHOT R | 2.890 |
| 2026 original workbook · KSHOTS/G | 1.340 |
| 2026 original workbook · CONCD/G | 0.470 |
| 2026 original workbook · ERA | 3.820 |
| 2026 original workbook · WHIP | 1.290 |
| 2026 original workbook · K/9 | 9.700 |
| 2026 original workbook · RPG | 7.300 |
| 2026 original workbook · BA | 0.303 |
| 2026 original workbook · OBP | 0.404 |
| 2026 original workbook · SLG | 0.452 |
| 2026 original workbook · OPS | 0.856 |
| 2026 original workbook · PCT | 0.980 |
| 2026 selection inputs · AVG RTG | 95.523 |
| 2026 selection inputs · AVG Rank | 14.611 |
| 2026 selection inputs · ELO Rank | 12.000 |
| 2026 selection inputs · ELO | 1635.000 |
| 2026 selection inputs · RPI Rank | 17.000 |
| 2026 selection inputs · RPI | 17.000 |
| 2026 selection inputs · Win % | 0.740 |
| 2026 selection inputs · % RANK | 16.000 |
| 2026 selection inputs · PYTHAG | 0.717 |
| 2026 selection inputs · PYTHAG RNK | 12.000 |
| Date ET / matchup | Projection | Model line / total | Vegas line | Actual score / status |
|---|
No games available for these filters.
Overall rating = 15.0% offense + 15.7% pitching + 69.3% selection metrics. Offense uses runs per game, OPS, OBP, slugging and batting average; pitching uses runs allowed, ERA, WHIP and strikeouts per nine. Selection metrics retain the workbook’s ELO, Pythagorean, RPI and win-percentage blend.
Home margin = rating difference × 0.08886 + 0.25 home advantage. Total runs = (home runs/game + away ERA + away runs/game + home ERA) ÷ 2. Win probability uses the workbook normal distribution with 4.75 run standard deviation.
Source: owner-supplied 2026 workbook; schedules/results: ESPN public scoreboard; additional schedules and underlying statistics: PEA Ratings (pearatings.com). Ambiguous PEA schedule entries are withheld. PEA is not a Vegas-line feed. Daily updates preserve original forecasts. GFitz workbook ratings and model weights are preserved; supplemental PEA statistics do not replace the model.