Rated teams365
INDEPENDENT SPORTS INTELLIGENCEGFITZ / BASKETBALL
Scheduled games3,000
With projections2,633
Unrated matchups367
Recorded results0
Daily updates · 5 a.m. Eastern. Updated 10/13/2026, 8:16:17 AM. Schedule: Nov 2, 2026–Jan 12, 2027 (partial export). Showing today or the next game day. Dates are Eastern.
BASKETBALL DASHBOARD
The national picture. The daily slate.
GFitz model + KenPom preseason prior
Top 25 Power Ratings
Nov 2, 2026
Closest Projected Games
Smallest projected margins among rated games in the selected slate.
Model vs. market
Best Edges & Upset Picks
No market lines loaded for this slate. Available lines appear with the daily update. Explore spread and total scenarios in Matchup Lab.
Test a betting line2026–27 season
Results & Performance
No graded pregame forecasts yet. Only forecasts saved before tip-off are graded. ATS uses the saved pregame forecast and its archived market quote.
at
MATCHUP LAB
Build any matchup.
Uses the same daily ratings and settings as the prediction board.
West Virginia · #4314.7 net100% preseason · 67.4 tempo
Pittsburgh · #1163.4 net100% preseason · 69.1 tempo
Negative = home favored. Zero = pick ’em.
Optional. These inputs are a what-if scenario.
DRAFTKINGS MARKET COMPARISONS
Best Bets
Moneyline expected value and ATS edges are ranked separately. Model forecasts are unchanged.
EV uses the published win probability and the offered DraftKings moneyline. Positive estimates depend on model calibration.
Calculation & quote policy
EV per $1 = probability × net payout − loss probability. Positive American odds pay odds/100; negative odds pay 100/|odds|. Monster EV ≥20%, Strong ≥10%, Playable >0%; these are display labels. Only quotes explicitly identified as DraftKings are eligible. Quotes older than 24 hours or without capture timestamps are excluded by default; fetch time is not a guarantee that the sportsbook has not moved. Opening and closing lines are unavailable unless separately verified. No substitute sportsbook or assumed −110 price is used. Historical retrospective ATS trend analysis is not an independent forward probability and is not ranked as betting EV.
| Rank / pick | Market | Win probability | DraftKings price | Expected value | Source / capture |
|---|
No eligible DraftKings moneyline opportunities match these filters. Missing prices are not estimated.
DAILY PREDICTIONS
The complete game board
155 games match the selected filters. Prediction CSV uses id,home,away,predicted. Negative predicted values favor home; unrated games stay blank. Exports include every filtered game, across all pages. ESPN IDs stay blank if unavailable.
| Matchup / Date ET | Projected score Away–Home | Model line | Total | Home win % | Market spread / total | Final score / ATS | Site / Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDReynolds Center · Tulsa | — | — | — | — | —ML: no pickTotal — · No provider | — | HomeUnrated opponent |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDGampel Pavilion · Storrs | Gardner-Webb 54 · UConn 94 | UConn -39.9 | 147.1 | 99.5% | —UConn ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDLawlor Events Center · Reno | Robert Morris 68 · Nevada 78 | Nevada -9.7 | 145.9 | 78.5% | —Nevada ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDUniversity Credit Union Center · Davis | North Alabama 67 · UC Davis 80 | UC Davis -12.9 | 146.6 | 84.8% | —UC Davis ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDFifth Third Arena · Cincinnati | American University 65 · Cincinnati 83 | Cincinnati -17.7 | 147.9 | 91.4% | —Cincinnati ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDDean E. Smith Center · Chapel Hill | Western Carolina 66 · North Carolina 89 | North Carolina -22.6 | 154.9 | 95.3% | —North Carolina ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDState Farm Center · Champaign | Fairleigh Dickinson 60 · Illinois 93 | Illinois -32.6 | 152.9 | 98.7% | —Illinois ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDSimon Skjodt Assembly Hall · Bloomington | Eastern Illinois 61 · Indiana 85 | Indiana -23.8 | 145.8 | 96.0% | —Indiana ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDXFINITY Center · College Park | Bucknell 67 · Maryland 82 | Maryland -14.7 | 148.6 | 87.6% | —Maryland ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDWilliams Arena · Minneapolis | North Dakota 67 · Minnesota 82 | Minnesota -15.2 | 149.4 | 88.3% | —Minnesota ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDDelta Center · Salt Lake City | Ohio State 79 · BYU 82 | BYU -2.7 | 161.2 | 58.9% | —BYU ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Neutral |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDBryce Jordan Center · University Park | Canisius 70 · Penn State 83 | Penn State -13.9 | 152.9 | 86.4% | —Penn State ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDStan Sheriff Center · Honolulu | Seattle U 70 · Hawai'i 76 | Hawai'i -5.3 | 145.8 | 67.1% | —Hawai'i ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDUniversity Credit Union Pavilion · Moraga | Illinois State 68 · Saint Mary's 80 | Saint Mary's -11.5 | 147.9 | 82.2% | —Saint Mary's ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDJenny Craig Pavilion · San Diego | — | — | — | — | —ML: no pickTotal — · No provider | — | HomeUnrated opponent |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDLeavey Center · Santa Clara | Towson 70 · Santa Clara 83 | Santa Clara -13.1 | 152.5 | 85.2% | —Santa Clara ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDMoody Center · Austin | Chicago State 62 · Texas 90 | Texas -27.4 | 152.3 | 97.5% | —Texas ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDF&M Bank Arena · Clarksville | — | — | — | — | —ML: no pickTotal — · No provider | — | HomeUnrated opponent |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDHaas Pavilion · Berkeley | — | — | — | — | —ML: no pickTotal — · No provider | — | HomeUnrated opponent |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDLittlejohn Coliseum · Clemson | Stetson 64 · Clemson 87 | Clemson -22.2 | 151.0 | 95.1% | —Clemson ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDKaplan Arena · Williamsburg | — | — | — | — | —ML: no pickTotal — · No provider | — | HomeUnrated opponent |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDKFC Yum! Center · Louisville | Chattanooga 66 · Louisville 90 | Louisville -24.1 | 155.3 | 96.2% | —Louisville ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDLenovo Center · Raleigh | Campbell 71 · NC State 88 | NC State -17.0 | 158.9 | 90.6% | —NC State ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDMoody Coliseum · Dallas | Southern 67 · SMU 84 | SMU -17.3 | 151.7 | 90.9% | —SMU ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDDevlin Fieldhouse · New Orleans | UT Martin 71 · Tulane 78 | Tulane -6.8 | 148.5 | 71.4% | —Tulane ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDGallagher-Iba Arena · Stillwater | Incarnate Word 69 · Oklahoma State 90 | Oklahoma State -21.2 | 159.1 | 94.4% | —Oklahoma State ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDSchollmaier Arena · Fort Worth | Lindenwood 65 · TCU 87 | TCU -21.9 | 151.7 | 94.9% | —TCU ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDPinnacle Bank Arena · Lincoln | Le Moyne 63 · Nebraska 90 | Nebraska -27.1 | 152.9 | 97.4% | —Nebraska ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDEagleBank Arena · Fairfax | UMBC 70 · George Mason 82 | George Mason -11.5 | 152.4 | 82.2% | —George Mason ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDMott Athletics Center · San Luis Obispo | — | — | — | — | —ML: no pickTotal — · No provider | — | HomeUnrated opponent |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDMcCann Arena · Poughkeepsie | Dartmouth 67 · Marist 75 | Marist -7.6 | 141.7 | 73.2% | —Marist ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDUCCU Center · Orem | — | — | — | — | —ML: no pickTotal — · No provider | — | HomeUnrated opponent |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDHinkle Fieldhouse · Indianapolis | Lafayette 66 · Butler 82 | Butler -15.9 | 148.5 | 89.3% | —Butler ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDStegeman Coliseum · Athens | North Carolina Central 65 · Georgia 91 | Georgia -26.2 | 155.4 | 97.1% | —Georgia ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDHumphrey Coliseum · Starkville | Tennessee Tech 73 · Mississippi State 84 | Mississippi State -11.1 | 156.9 | 81.4% | —Mississippi State ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDLloyd Noble Center · Norman | East Texas A&M 64 · Oklahoma 87 | Oklahoma -23.4 | 150.9 | 95.8% | —Oklahoma ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDCarnesecca Arena · Queens | Monmouth 64 · St. John's 87 | St. John's -22.3 | 151.2 | 95.1% | —St. John's ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDShow Me Center · Cape Girardeau | Lipscomb 76 · Southeast Missouri State 76 | Southeast Missouri State -0.1 | 152.1 | 50.4% | —Southeast Missouri State ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDMaples Pavilion · Stanford | Eastern Washington 70 · Stanford 84 | Stanford -13.8 | 153.7 | 86.3% | —Stanford ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
| Nov 2, 2026 · Time TBDWelsh-Ryan Arena · Evanston | Binghamton 66 · Northwestern 84 | Northwestern -17.4 | 150.3 | 91.1% | —Northwestern ML unavailableTotal — · No provider | — | Home |
1–40 of 155
TEAM RATINGS
All 365. One board.
Current rating combines the preseason prior and available daily CBBD inputs. AdjO/AdjD are source efficiencies; their difference can differ from the blended rating. Lower AdjD is better.
WHAT THEY HAVE EARNED
GFitz Top 25
Completed results only. Normalized résumé benchmark; independent of the Power Ratings board. Movement will appear when published ranking snapshots are available.
No completed current-season results available. Preseason power ratings remain available in Power Ratings.
GRR methodology & coverage
Résumé GRR; predictive GRR is a separate sport-specific fitted feature. Subtract the lowest Power Rating from every rated team: adjusted rating = rating − minimum. This is a shift, not a 0–100 rescaling. A win adds the opponent’s adjusted rating; a loss subtracts (adjusted maximum − opponent’s adjusted rating). Divide the sum by evaluated games. The existing provisional location adjustment shifts opponent strength by −3 at home, +3 away and 0 at neutral sites, bounded within the adjusted range. Ties and unrated opponents are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Unrated opponents are excluded, not assigned invented ratings. The predictive model uses separate fitted GRR features; this résumé score is not added again to Power Ratings.
THE ROAD TO A CHAMPIONSHIP
Postseason projections
Projected résumés select the field. Model ratings forecast remaining games and postseason matchups. Fields and seeds update as results, schedules and ratings change.
Projected bracket · Data as of 10/13/2026, 8:16:17 AM ET · GFitz current model
PROJECTED CHAMPION
1 ArizonaBig 12 · GFitz 44.0 · Projected 14–1Projected résumé selects and seeds the field after automatic bids. Actual finals replace forecasts; remaining games use model probabilities. Power ratings predict games, not direct selection scores. Component percentiles use the fixed GFitz weights below, not an official committee formula.
Full projected field · 76 teams
Overall #1 · Automatic1 ArizonaBig 12 · GFitz 44.0 · Projected 14–1
1 ArizonaBig 12 · GFitz 44.0 · Projected 14–1Overall #2 · Automatic
1 DukeACC · GFitz 40.7 · Projected 15–2
1 DukeACC · GFitz 40.7 · Projected 15–2Overall #3 · Automatic1 UConnBig East · GFitz 30.9 · Projected 14–4
Overall #4 · Automatic
1 PurdueBig Ten · GFitz 27.5 · Projected 14–5
1 PurdueBig Ten · GFitz 27.5 · Projected 14–5Overall #5 · At-large
2 MichiganBig Ten · GFitz 33.9 · Projected 14–2
2 MichiganBig Ten · GFitz 33.9 · Projected 14–2Overall #6 · At-large
2 IllinoisBig Ten · GFitz 27.0 · Projected 12–4
2 IllinoisBig Ten · GFitz 27.0 · Projected 12–4Overall #7 · Automatic
2 FloridaSEC · GFitz 31.1 · Projected 13–2
2 FloridaSEC · GFitz 31.1 · Projected 13–2Overall #8 · At-large
2 KansasBig 12 · GFitz 28.6 · Projected 12–3
2 KansasBig 12 · GFitz 28.6 · Projected 12–3Overall #9 · At-large
3 AlabamaSEC · GFitz 25.4 · Projected 11–4
3 AlabamaSEC · GFitz 25.4 · Projected 11–4Overall #10 · At-large
3 Michigan StateBig Ten · GFitz 27.2 · Projected 13–4
3 Michigan StateBig Ten · GFitz 27.2 · Projected 13–4Overall #11 · Automatic
3 GonzagaP12 · GFitz 29.7 · Projected 6–2
3 GonzagaP12 · GFitz 29.7 · Projected 6–2Overall #12 · At-large
3 VirginiaACC · GFitz 26.3 · Projected 14–3
3 VirginiaACC · GFitz 26.3 · Projected 14–3Overall #13 · At-large
4 Texas TechBig 12 · GFitz 27.8 · Projected 11–3
4 Texas TechBig 12 · GFitz 27.8 · Projected 11–3Overall #14 · At-large
4 ArkansasSEC · GFitz 25.0 · Projected 8–4
4 ArkansasSEC · GFitz 25.0 · Projected 8–4Overall #15 · At-large4 Iowa StateBig 12 · GFitz 30.6 · Projected 13–2
Overall #16 · At-large4 WisconsinBig Ten · GFitz 21.8 · Projected 11–4
Overall #17 · At-large
5 HoustonBig 12 · GFitz 32.5 · Projected 14–1
5 HoustonBig 12 · GFitz 32.5 · Projected 14–1Overall #18 · At-large
5 North CarolinaACC · GFitz 22.8 · Projected 14–3
5 North CarolinaACC · GFitz 22.8 · Projected 14–3Overall #19 · At-large
5 LouisvilleACC · GFitz 19.7 · Projected 10–4
5 LouisvilleACC · GFitz 19.7 · Projected 10–4Overall #20 · At-large
5 NebraskaBig Ten · GFitz 23.5 · Projected 14–3
5 NebraskaBig Ten · GFitz 23.5 · Projected 14–3Overall #21 · At-large
6 VanderbiltSEC · GFitz 26.8 · Projected 15–2
6 VanderbiltSEC · GFitz 26.8 · Projected 15–2Overall #22 · At-large6 St. John'sBig East · GFitz 25.4 · Projected 12–3
Overall #23 · At-large
6 KentuckySEC · GFitz 19.7 · Projected 13–4
6 KentuckySEC · GFitz 19.7 · Projected 13–4Overall #24 · At-large
6 TennesseeSEC · GFitz 21.8 · Projected 12–3
6 TennesseeSEC · GFitz 21.8 · Projected 12–3Overall #25 · At-large
7 BYUBig 12 · GFitz 21.7 · Projected 12–3
7 BYUBig 12 · GFitz 21.7 · Projected 12–3Overall #26 · At-large
7 UCLABig Ten · GFitz 19.5 · Projected 11–4
7 UCLABig Ten · GFitz 19.5 · Projected 11–4Overall #27 · At-large
7 Ohio StateBig Ten · GFitz 18.0 · Projected 12–7
7 Ohio StateBig Ten · GFitz 18.0 · Projected 12–7Overall #28 · At-large
7 VillanovaBig East · GFitz 17.8 · Projected 11–5
7 VillanovaBig East · GFitz 17.8 · Projected 11–5Overall #29 · At-large8 Utah StateP12 · GFitz 20.6 · Projected 10–3
Overall #30 · At-large8 MiamiACC · GFitz 20.1 · Projected 13–3
Overall #31 · At-large
8 MissouriSEC · GFitz 14.8 · Projected 11–6
8 MissouriSEC · GFitz 14.8 · Projected 11–6Overall #32 · At-large
8 TCUBig 12 · GFitz 18.0 · Projected 11–4
8 TCUBig 12 · GFitz 18.0 · Projected 11–4Overall #33 · At-large
9 AuburnSEC · GFitz 15.4 · Projected 10–5
9 AuburnSEC · GFitz 15.4 · Projected 10–5Overall #34 · Automatic
9 Saint LouisAtlantic 10 · GFitz 19.3 · Projected 10–3
9 Saint LouisAtlantic 10 · GFitz 19.3 · Projected 10–3Overall #35 · At-large
9 TexasSEC · GFitz 16.9 · Projected 12–4
9 TexasSEC · GFitz 16.9 · Projected 12–4Overall #36 · At-large
9 ClemsonACC · GFitz 17.2 · Projected 13–4
9 ClemsonACC · GFitz 17.2 · Projected 13–4Overall #37 · At-large
10 Oklahoma StateBig 12 · GFitz 14.3 · Projected 12–5
10 Oklahoma StateBig 12 · GFitz 14.3 · Projected 12–5Overall #38 · At-large
10 IowaBig Ten · GFitz 13.8 · Projected 12–6
10 IowaBig Ten · GFitz 13.8 · Projected 12–6Overall #39 · At-large10 West VirginiaBig 12 · GFitz 14.7 · Projected 11–4
10 West VirginiaBig 12 · GFitz 14.7 · Projected 11–4Overall #40 · At-large
10 San Diego StateP12 · GFitz 12.7 · Projected 6–3
10 San Diego StateP12 · GFitz 12.7 · Projected 6–3Overall #41 · At-large
10 GeorgiaSEC · GFitz 16.5 · Projected 11–4
10 GeorgiaSEC · GFitz 16.5 · Projected 11–4Overall #42 · At-large
11 Texas A&MSEC · GFitz 16.9 · Projected 13–4
11 Texas A&MSEC · GFitz 16.9 · Projected 13–4Overall #43 · Automatic11 Saint Mary'sWest Coast · GFitz 17.1 · Projected 13–4
Overall #44 · At-large
11 UCFBig 12 · GFitz 15.7 · Projected 12–4
11 UCFBig 12 · GFitz 15.7 · Projected 12–4Overall #45 · At-large
11 OklahomaSEC · GFitz 14.1 · Projected 12–5
11 OklahomaSEC · GFitz 14.1 · Projected 12–5Overall #46 · At-large
11 CincinnatiBig 12 · GFitz 16.2 · Projected 12–4
11 CincinnatiBig 12 · GFitz 16.2 · Projected 12–4Overall #47 · At-large11 USCBig Ten · GFitz 12.6 · Projected 8–6
Overall #48 · At-large
11 CreightonBig East · GFitz 11.2 · Projected 9–7
11 CreightonBig East · GFitz 11.2 · Projected 9–7Overall #49 · At-large12 Boise StateP12 · GFitz 13.1 · Projected 6–3
Overall #50 · At-large
12 NC StateACC · GFitz 13.2 · Projected 12–6
12 NC StateACC · GFitz 13.2 · Projected 12–6Overall #51 · Automatic
12 New MexicoMountain West · GFitz 14.4 · Projected 10–3
12 New MexicoMountain West · GFitz 14.4 · Projected 10–3Overall #52 · At-large
12 IndianaBig Ten · GFitz 13.3 · Projected 13–5
12 IndianaBig Ten · GFitz 13.3 · Projected 13–5Overall #53 · Automatic12 South FloridaAmerican · GFitz 12.6 · Projected 10–4
Overall #54 · At-large
12 VCUAtlantic 10 · GFitz 17.8 · Projected 9–2
12 VCUAtlantic 10 · GFitz 17.8 · Projected 9–2Overall #55 · Automatic
13 Miami (OH)Mid-American · GFitz 12.4 · Projected 11–3
13 Miami (OH)Mid-American · GFitz 12.4 · Projected 11–3Overall #56 · Automatic
13 High PointBSth · GFitz 13.2 · Projected 13–3
13 High PointBSth · GFitz 13.2 · Projected 13–3Overall #57 · Automatic
13 McNeeseSlnd · GFitz 12.1 · Projected 11–3
13 McNeeseSlnd · GFitz 12.1 · Projected 11–3Overall #58 · Automatic
13 Utah ValleyBW · GFitz 8.8 · Projected 8–4
13 Utah ValleyBW · GFitz 8.8 · Projected 8–4Overall #59 · Automatic
14 Illinois StateMVC · GFitz 5.0 · Projected 7–6
14 Illinois StateMVC · GFitz 5.0 · Projected 7–6Overall #60 · Automatic
14 YaleIvy · GFitz 7.4 · Projected 7–4
14 YaleIvy · GFitz 7.4 · Projected 7–4Overall #61 · Automatic
14 Sam HoustonConference USA · GFitz 2.8 · Projected 5–6
14 Sam HoustonConference USA · GFitz 2.8 · Projected 5–6Overall #62 · Automatic14 UNC WilmingtonCAA · GFitz 9.2 · Projected 9–3
Overall #63 · Automatic15 HowardMEAC · GFitz 0.3 · Projected 6–3
Overall #64 · Automatic15 Tennessee StateOVC · GFitz 0.8 · Projected 7–5
Overall #65 · Automatic
15 North Dakota StateSum · GFitz 4.4 · Projected 7–4
15 North Dakota StateSum · GFitz 4.4 · Projected 7–4Overall #66 · Automatic15 Robert MorrisHorz · GFitz 2.1 · Projected 7–3
Overall #67 · Automatic15 Montana StateBSky · GFitz 1.5 · Projected 7–7
Overall #68 · Automatic15 Central ArkansasUnited Athletic · GFitz 0.7 · Projected 7–7
Overall #69 · Automatic
16 Florida A&MSWAC · GFitz -10.0 · Projected 2–7
16 Florida A&MSWAC · GFitz -10.0 · Projected 2–7Overall #70 · Automatic
16 Southern MissSun Belt · GFitz -2.7 · Projected 5–5
16 Southern MissSun Belt · GFitz -2.7 · Projected 5–5Overall #71 · Automatic16 FurmanSC · GFitz 2.3 · Projected 10–5
Overall #72 · Automatic
16 MerrimackMC · GFitz 1.6 · Projected 10–8
16 MerrimackMC · GFitz 1.6 · Projected 10–8Overall #73 · Automatic
16 LehighPL · GFitz -5.6 · Projected 6–5
16 LehighPL · GFitz -5.6 · Projected 6–5Overall #74 · Automatic
16 UMBCAE · GFitz -2.1 · Projected 9–7
16 UMBCAE · GFitz -2.1 · Projected 9–7Overall #75 · Automatic
16 LipscombASun · GFitz -1.3 · Projected 9–9
16 LipscombASun · GFitz -1.3 · Projected 9–9Overall #76 · Automatic16 Long Island UniversityNEC · GFitz -1.7 · Projected 8–10
Numbers beside teams are tournament seeds. Each column advances into the next; highlighted picks show the projected path. Expand a matchup for its model spread and win probability.
Opening Round
16 Long Island UniversityNEC · GFitz -1.7 · Projected 8–1016 LipscombASun · GFitz -1.3 · Projected 9–9Pick: Lipscomb
Long Island University 77 · Lipscomb 78
Home spread: -0.3 · Lipscomb win probability 51.0%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
10 GeorgiaSEC · GFitz 16.5 · Projected 11–410 San Diego StateP12 · GFitz 12.7 · Projected 6–3Pick: Georgia
Georgia 80 · San Diego State 77
Home spread: +2.7 · San Diego State win probability 41.1%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
11 UCFBig 12 · GFitz 15.7 · Projected 12–411 Texas A&MSEC · GFitz 16.9 · Projected 13–4Pick: Texas A&M
UCF 79 · Texas A&M 79
Home spread: -0.9 · Texas A&M win probability 53.0%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
Round of 64
16 LipscombASun · GFitz -1.3 · Projected 9–91 ArizonaBig 12 · GFitz 44.0 · Projected 14–1Pick: Arizona
Lipscomb 62 · Arizona 96
Home spread: -33.3 · Arizona win probability 98.8%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
9 AuburnSEC · GFitz 15.4 · Projected 10–58 TCUBig 12 · GFitz 18.0 · Projected 11–4Pick: TCU
Auburn 77 · TCU 79
Home spread: -1.9 · TCU win probability 56.2%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
12 South FloridaAmerican · GFitz 12.6 · Projected 10–45 HoustonBig 12 · GFitz 32.5 · Projected 14–1Pick: Houston
South Florida 66 · Houston 80
Home spread: -14.0 · Houston win probability 86.6%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
13 Miami (OH)Mid-American · GFitz 12.4 · Projected 11–34 WisconsinBig Ten · GFitz 21.8 · Projected 11–4Pick: Wisconsin
Miami (OH) 74 · Wisconsin 81
Home spread: -6.8 · Wisconsin win probability 71.3%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
11 Texas A&MSEC · GFitz 16.9 · Projected 13–46 TennesseeSEC · GFitz 21.8 · Projected 12–3Pick: Tennessee
Texas A&M 78 · Tennessee 81
Home spread: -3.5 · Tennessee win probability 61.3%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
14 UNC WilmingtonCAA · GFitz 9.2 · Projected 9–33 AlabamaSEC · GFitz 25.4 · Projected 11–4Pick: Alabama
UNC Wilmington 76 · Alabama 87
Home spread: -11.8 · Alabama win probability 82.8%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
10 GeorgiaSEC · GFitz 16.5 · Projected 11–47 BYUBig 12 · GFitz 21.7 · Projected 12–3Pick: BYU
Georgia 81 · BYU 85
Home spread: -3.8 · BYU win probability 62.6%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
15 HowardMEAC · GFitz 0.3 · Projected 6–32 KansasBig 12 · GFitz 28.6 · Projected 12–3Pick: Kansas
Howard 67 · Kansas 87
Home spread: -20.6 · Kansas win probability 93.9%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
Round of 32
8 TCUBig 12 · GFitz 18.0 · Projected 11–41 ArizonaBig 12 · GFitz 44.0 · Projected 14–1Pick: Arizona
TCU 68 · Arizona 87
Home spread: -18.9 · Arizona win probability 92.6%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
4 WisconsinBig Ten · GFitz 21.8 · Projected 11–45 HoustonBig 12 · GFitz 32.5 · Projected 14–1Pick: Houston
Wisconsin 69 · Houston 76
Home spread: -7.5 · Houston win probability 73.2%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
3 AlabamaSEC · GFitz 25.4 · Projected 11–46 TennesseeSEC · GFitz 21.8 · Projected 12–3Pick: Alabama
Alabama 82 · Tennessee 80
Home spread: +2.7 · Tennessee win probability 41.2%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
2 KansasBig 12 · GFitz 28.6 · Projected 12–37 BYUBig 12 · GFitz 21.7 · Projected 12–3Pick: Kansas
Kansas 83 · BYU 78
Home spread: +5.0 · BYU win probability 33.9%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
Sweet 16
5 HoustonBig 12 · GFitz 32.5 · Projected 14–11 ArizonaBig 12 · GFitz 44.0 · Projected 14–1Pick: Arizona
Houston 69 · Arizona 77
Home spread: -8.2 · Arizona win probability 74.8%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
2 KansasBig 12 · GFitz 28.6 · Projected 12–33 AlabamaSEC · GFitz 25.4 · Projected 11–4Pick: Kansas
Kansas 83 · Alabama 80
Home spread: +2.4 · Alabama win probability 42.2%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
Elite Eight
2 KansasBig 12 · GFitz 28.6 · Projected 12–31 ArizonaBig 12 · GFitz 44.0 · Projected 14–1Pick: Arizona
Kansas 72 · Arizona 83
Home spread: -11.3 · Arizona win probability 81.8%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
Semifinal
1 DukeACC · GFitz 40.7 · Projected 15–21 ArizonaBig 12 · GFitz 44.0 · Projected 14–1Pick: Arizona
Duke 76 · Arizona 79
Home spread: -2.4 · Arizona win probability 57.9%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
2 MichiganBig Ten · GFitz 33.9 · Projected 14–21 UConnBig East · GFitz 30.9 · Projected 14–4Pick: Michigan
Michigan 76 · UConn 74
Home spread: +2.1 · UConn win probability 43.1%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
Championship
2 MichiganBig Ten · GFitz 33.9 · Projected 14–21 ArizonaBig 12 · GFitz 44.0 · Projected 14–1Pick: Arizona
Michigan 74 · Arizona 82
Home spread: -7.4 · Arizona win probability 72.9%
Neutral-site projection · Projected matchup, not an announced game.
Selection method, coverage and sources
Projected résumé selects and seeds the field after automatic bids. Actual finals replace forecasts; remaining games use model probabilities. Power ratings predict games, not direct selection scores. Component percentiles use the fixed GFitz weights below, not an official committee formula.
- 76 NCAA teams: 32 conference champions and 44 at-large teams, ordered by projected résumé.
- 12 opening games: bottom 12 automatic qualifiers and bottom 12 at-large teams, in separate pools; 52 teams enter the round of 64 directly.
- After NCAA selection, project Crown invitations first: two remaining teams each from the Big Ten, Big 12 and Big East, plus two wild cards. This uses the latest published eight-team Crown structure; 2027 confirmation is pending.
- NIT takes 24 remaining teams. First Four Out, top-10 conference exemptions plus additional ACC/SEC exemptions and eligible regular-season champions are considered. GFitz résumé rankings proxy unavailable selection composites; Crown choices are treated as NIT declines.
Criteria edition: 2026-27-resume-v3
- Crown allocation precedes NIT in this projection. Crown choices are assumed to decline NIT; actual invitations and acceptance can differ.
- NIT uses GFitz résumé rank as the unavailable seven-metric composite proxy and mean résumé scores as a conference-strength proxy. These are not official NET/composite ranks.
- NCAA seed lines use projected résumés; opening-round conference rematches are avoided where feasible. Regional travel and all committee rematch exceptions are not fully modeled.
- Projected SOR is a GFitz reference-team record-tail calculation; projected SOS measures benchmark schedule difficulty. Neither is an official ESPN metric. Quadrants use projected record-based RPI ranks, not official NET/adjusted RPI. Head-to-head/common opponents contribute at most half a point among close résumés.
- Missing or unresolved games reduce coverage. Baseball uses a common historical résumé prior until field-wide schedule coverage passes its published safeguard; incomplete game lists are not full-season records.
- Advancement probabilities are conditional on this projected field, not the chance of receiving a bid. Bid probabilities are not available without a validated selection simulation.
Not all committee inputs are available, and selection accuracy has not yet been backtested. The field is recomputed from actual results and projected remaining records. Before games begin, résumé estimates depend on the available schedule and preseason forecasts. Official selections may differ.
TEAM INTELLIGENCE
Team metrics & schedule
Explore team ratings, season statistics, results and the road ahead.
B12
West Virginia
Overall record0–0
Conference record0–0
Conference standingNot ranked yet
Expected record10.8–4.2
Game-by-game projection12–3
Points / game—
Allowed / game—
Records use completed games in the loaded schedule. Conference standing uses conference win percentage, with ties shared; official tiebreakers are not applied. Expected record = actual wins/losses plus win probabilities for 15 remaining games. Game-by-game projection counts the favored team as the winner. Only announced matchups are included.
Résumé GRR: Unavailable · 0 evaluated games
Résumé rankings measure results; Power Ratings predict games. Each rated team’s résumé-adjusted rating is its Power Rating minus the lowest rating in this sport (-25.80). The adjusted maximum is 69.83. This linear shift preserves all rating differences, including negative original Power Ratings.
Win: add the opponent’s adjusted rating. Loss: subtract the adjusted maximum minus the opponent’s adjusted rating. Average over evaluated games only. The provisional location adjustment is −3 at home, +3 away, 0 at neutral sites, bounded to the adjusted range. Unrated opponents and ties are excluded. This score is not added to predictive Power Ratings.
GRR contribution (points)0.00
Offensive efficiency114.80
Defensive efficiency96.20
Tempo67.40
Preseason net14.71
Current adjusted net—
SRS per 100—
Recent form—
Four Factors signal—
Prior share (%)100.00
Season & advanced statistics
Preseason ratings above are priors; current-season statistics will appear after games are played.
No current-season statistics available for this team yet.
West Virginia schedule
Previous results and upcoming GFitz projections. Times are Eastern.
| Date / opponent | Site | Status | Actual result | GFitz projection | Vegas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NiagaraNov 2 · Time TBD | Home | Scheduled | — | West Virginia -22.8Niagara 61 · West Virginia 84Current model projection | Unavailable |
| StetsonNov 6 · Time TBD | Home | Scheduled | — | West Virginia -20.2Stetson 64 · West Virginia 84Current model projection | Unavailable |
| MercerNov 12 · Time TBD | Home | Scheduled | — | West Virginia -15.5Mercer 66 · West Virginia 82Current model projection | Unavailable |
| AuburnNov 17, 11:59 PM | Neutral | Scheduled | — | Auburn -0.5West Virginia 75 · Auburn 75Current model projection | Unavailable |
| North CarolinaNov 27, 7:00 PM | Neutral | Scheduled | — | North Carolina -5.6West Virginia 71 · North Carolina 77Current model projection | Unavailable |
| MercyhurstDec 1 · Time TBD | Home | Scheduled | — | West Virginia -19.1Mercyhurst 62 · West Virginia 81Current model projection | Unavailable |
| Virginia TechDec 5 · Time TBD | Home | Scheduled | — | West Virginia -4.3Virginia Tech 72 · West Virginia 76Current model projection | Unavailable |
| PittsburghDec 9 · Time TBD | Neutral | Scheduled | — | West Virginia -7.7West Virginia 76 · Pittsburgh 68Current model projection | Unavailable |
| Coppin StateDec 13 · Time TBD | Home | Scheduled | — | West Virginia -27.3Coppin State 57 · West Virginia 84Current model projection | Unavailable |
| Northern ArizonaDec 16 · Time TBD | Home | Scheduled | — | West Virginia -21.8Northern Arizona 62 · West Virginia 84Current model projection | Unavailable |
| Wake ForestDec 19 · Time TBD | Neutral | Scheduled | — | West Virginia -5.2West Virginia 76 · Wake Forest 71Current model projection | Unavailable |
| South Carolina StateDec 21 · Time TBD | Home | Scheduled | — | West Virginia -25.5South Carolina State 60 · West Virginia 85Current model projection | Unavailable |
| KansasJan 2 · Time TBD | Away | Scheduled | — | Kansas -12.7West Virginia 67 · Kansas 80Current model projection | Unavailable |
| Oklahoma StateJan 5 · Time TBD | Home | Scheduled | — | West Virginia -3.3Oklahoma State 75 · West Virginia 78Current model projection | Unavailable |
| ColoradoJan 9 · Time TBD | Away | Scheduled | — | West Virginia -2.9West Virginia 75 · Colorado 72Current model projection | Unavailable |
Sources: CollegeBasketballData and the GFitz model. Updated 10/13/2026, 8:16:17 AM ET.
SHARED MODEL WEIGHTS
Custom weight lab
One weight system, applied equally to both teams. Each group stays at 100%. Explore spread sensitivity while scoring totals stay fixed.
Original model
West Virginia -4.7West Virginia 74 · Pittsburgh 69
Total 143.3
Pittsburgh win probability 34.7%
Shared-weight scenario
West Virginia -4.7West Virginia 74 · Pittsburgh 69
Total 143.3
Pittsburgh win probability 34.7%
Spread change: 0.00 points. Tempo, scoring total and each team’s existing prior share stay fixed. Unavailable season components are excluded and available weights are renormalized. Preseason teams respond to the prior weights. Published ratings and saved forecasts are unchanged.
PREDICTIONS VS RESULTS
Weekly results board
Live games appear first, closest to finishing first; upcoming games follow, then finals. Compare archived pregame predictions with the score. “Predicted winner?” shows whether the outright pick was correct; “Win ATS?” grades the spread pick against its recorded pregame line. Only timestamped pregame forecasts qualify for performance tracking.
Live scores refresh every 30 seconds while this page is visible. DraftKings market quotes refresh separately; historical sources are preserved. ML units require recorded pregame odds. ATS units use recorded prices, or −110 when missing (labeled estimated). Updated 10/13/2026, 8:16:17 AM ET.
Connecting to live scoreboard…
Week of 2026-11-02
Weekly record & units
Week of 2026-11-02 · All tiers
Straight up / moneyline
- Wins–losses–ties
- 0–0–0
- Win rate
- —
- Net units
- —
0 settled bets with recorded prices
Against the spread
- Wins–losses–pushes
- 0–0–0
- Win rate
- —
- Net units
- —
0 settled bets with recorded prices
Combined net —
1 unit risked per recorded directional selection. Only verified pregame snapshots contribute. ATS wins return 100 ÷ 110 units at assumed −110; losses cost 1 unit and pushes return 0. Final games only; pushes and ties excluded from win rate.
Odds coverage & calculation details
Net profit excludes returned stake. Filters apply to the entire record, not just this page. Uses timestamped pregame predictions and saved prices, with −110 explicitly assumed for missing ATS prices. Untimestamped legacy forecasts remain preserved but are not included in verified performance.
0 settled winner picks excluded from ML units because odds are unavailable. 0 ATS returns use an estimated −110 price. The homepage and Performance page use this same grading policy.
| Matchup / date ET | Pregame prediction | Vegas line | Actual score | Game status | Predicted winner? | Win ATS? | ML / ATS units | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
at North Dakota at MinnesotaNov 2, 12:00 AM ET | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
 at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
at Eastern Illinois at IndianaNov 2, 12:00 AM ET | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
at Fairleigh Dickinson at IllinoisNov 2, 12:00 AM ET | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
at Western Carolina at North CarolinaNov 2, 12:00 AM ET | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
at American University at CincinnatiNov 2, 12:00 AM ET | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
at North Alabama at UC DavisNov 2, 12:00 AM ET | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
at Robert Morris at NevadaNov 2, 12:00 AM ET | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
 at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
at Charleston Southern at South FloridaNov 2, 12:00 AM ET | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
 at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
 at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
| at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
 at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
 at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
 at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
 at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
 at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
 at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
 at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
at Eastern Michigan at Coastal CarolinaNov 2, 12:00 AM ET | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
at Western Michigan at Old DominionNov 2, 12:00 AM ET | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
at Buffalo at MarshallNov 2, 12:00 AM ET | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
 at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
 at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
 at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
 at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
 at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
at Maryland Eastern Shore at Wake ForestNov 2, 12:00 AM ET | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
 at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
 at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
at Army at DukeNov 2, 12:00 AM ET | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
 at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
 at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
 at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
 at | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
at Kansas City at CreightonNov 2, 12:00 AM ET | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
at Chicago State at TexasNov 2, 12:00 AM ET | No verified pregame forecastPublished before tipoff / kickoff | No line availableML: no pickHistorical source unverified | — | Scheduled | No forecast | No forecast | ML —ATS — | No Line |
401 games
UNDER THE HOOD
The GFitz model, updated every morning.
The preseason prior blends 50% of GFitz’s last-season Power Points with 50% KenPom after scale normalization. Current-season evidence replaces that prior as each team plays: prior share = max(10%, 6 / (6 + games played)). These are starting assumptions, not fitted betting weights.
PROJECTED HOME MARGINPossessions × (Home rating − Away rating) / 100 + site adjustment
The in-season mix is 65 parts adjusted efficiency, 25 parts SRS scaled to 100 possessions, and 10 parts recent opponent-adjusted form. Recent form uses the last five games, capped at ±6 rating points around the season baseline. Four Factors are available as an optional input (0 parts; default 0) because their effects already feed efficiency. Missing components are excluded and remaining weights renormalized. Market lines have zero prediction weight.
Sources: the GFitz last-season model, CollegeBasketballData schedules, results and advanced statistics. Team efficiency inputs: KenPom, October 12, 2026. Daily snapshots retain pregame forecasts; the game-day view advances automatically. Ratings, schedules and available market lines refresh daily at 5 a.m. Eastern.
Home court3.0 pts
Semi-home1.0 pt
Neutral court0.0 pts
League efficiency106.00
Strong / Bet / Lean4 / 2.5 / 1.5 pts
Total edge threshold3 pts
Logistic scale7.5